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Newsletter: March 2020

by | Mar 24, 2020 | Newsletters

3/19/2020

Dear Clients and Friends:

During this time of financial upheaval and instability, expect to see video blogs from us to discuss the state of the market, one-to-two times per week.

Colman Knight members are working from home for the time being, and we are as committed as ever to serving our clients. It is our joy to be present for your needs.

We know that everyone is saturated with information regarding the Coronavirus and its effects, and that updates related to health and market trajectories are continually changing. This month we share a higher-elevation perspective on the market from our friend Bob Veres, a financial planning columnist.

Your health and well-being are always important to us, especially now. Under “What Matters Most” please find a recommendation for a silver-based anti-microbial skin foam; a very effective and less harsh alternative to hand sanitizers.

Finally, during this (temporary!) period of social isolation, there is an aspect of life and connection that is still safe and available: our relationship to nature. See the Going Green section below, including a link to the March newsletter, and visit the facebook page, for productive and calming inspiration.

Please know that is our wish to support you however we can. Do not hesitate to contact us. Tricia remains at our front desk to answer and direct your calls, at 978-371-2015, and of course we are available by email.


The Bet That Gives Away the Game

by Bob Veres

At the beginning of this year, billionaire Warren Buffett won a bet that made him $1 million richer. For the rest of us, the outcome of this wager teaches us how unique the investing profession is in the great scheme of things.

Buffett, as you probably know, is a billionaire who buys companies at a discounted price and hopes to hold them forever. He doesn’t hedge his positions, read charts or change his portfolio very much from decade to decade. He wagered $1 million that investing in the simple S&P 500 index over the ten years ending last December would beat a portfolio of five hedge funds, each with tons of Wall Street experience and trading acumen. The final tally wasn’t even close: The index returned 125.8% over the time period, while the hedge funds, collectively, were up 36%.

Most of us never stop to realize how unique it is to invest in the stock market, very different from pretty much everything else we do in our daily lives. Those hedge funds were paid massive amounts of money to accumulate the data and expertise needed to have an edge over every other investor. The problem is that there is no guarantee that research and expertise actually confer an advantage, particularly if there is active trading involved. If you have trouble believing that expertise doesn’t translate into high returns, try to name a superstar trader or market timer. Chances are you can name a few remarkable individuals in just about every other field—sports, sciences, the arts; all the normal careers where skill and hard work are important. But there appear to be no market timers (no matter how much they learn or know or do) who stand out as superior investors.

After waiting ten years to win his bet, Buffett was quick to make his point: that it’s nearly always better to “stick with easy decisions and eschew activity.” Investing is unique in the sense that even experts and senior economists seem to be incapable of beating the market indices on a regular or reliable basis. In just about every other activity—tennis, golf, physics, surgery—an expert will be demonstrably better than an amateur. But no reputable “expert” in the investment world will ever tell you that he or she can consistently beat the market on your behalf. In fact, any guarantees of superiority are forbidden by the regulators. How many other careers is that true for?

Finally, investing is a bit strange because, with your portfolio, there are many times when (unlike most human activities) the best thing to do is to do nothing. And there are many times when (unlike just about every other human activity) it’s actually quite difficult to do nothing.

None of this means that expertise is useless when it comes to managing portfolios. A professionally-managed portfolio will use a variety of other ways to boost the total return. Professionals have access to quality low-cost investments, which can, in some circumstances, save a lot of money in annual fees. Professionals get in the habit of keeping some of your money out of Uncle Sam’s pocket by harvesting tax losses and avoiding short-term capital gains. By creating a diversified mix of investments, an investment professional can create situations where the stock market is going crazy on the downside, but other investments are holding their own and cushioning the blow.

In every field, true experts understand humility. In the investment markets, as the Buffett experiment has shown us, nobody really knows when or how the markets will bounce back or settle down after manic moves in either direction. This bit of wisdom won’t get anybody a rate of return higher than the markets are giving out. But it does help prevent people from making expensive mistakes during those times when it’s so very very hard to do nothing.

Source:

Strengthening Your Skin Barrier

Alison O’Neil, a Dermatologic rehabilitation specialist, has been an expert in skin health & dermatology psychology for almost 40 years, and she is one of my dearest life-long friends. Lucky me (Gayle). Several years ago she turned me on to Theraworx as a superior alternative to hand sanitizer. I asked her to share more about the background of this product – in simple terms – to pass along to you. She provided the following information.

Theraworx is a silver-based anti-microbial developed by a NASA scientist. It has a grapefruit seed extract that was developed at University of Florida to be sprayed on grapefruits to prevent freezing in the winter frost. It mimics the skins natural barrier which means it stays on your skin for 6 hours and 100 hand washings. Theraworx has been found effective in addressing a variety of medical concerns, including as a hand, nose and mouth protectant from airborn and topical threats. Given our current mandate for sanitizing, this is ideal. She offers that in a study conducted over 10 years ago by a company that owned 16 nursing homes, 9 of the 16 nursing homes used Theraworx during the flu season. In the homes using Theraworx, no one became sick with the flu, whereas the others did. Theraworx is used for wound healing, and to prevent UTIs and even acne. Lastly, as if these pearls are not enough, unlike hand sanitizer which is really harsh, Theraworx has the additional benefit of leaving the skin feeling soft.

I have used Theraworx on and off for years, and today consistently. When my mother and father had health issues, I purchased a few containers for them to assist with their safety and health. If you are moved to try it, Theraworx can be purchased online.

Here is a picture of the bottle. It is a purple label with the word “protect.” Continue to protect yourself. We care and offer our heartfelt – non-threatening – hugs through the invisible ethers of our connection.

With inspiration for peace and calm,

Gayle


Year of Wealth:
Going Green 2020

Early spring crocuses last week in New England

March Practice:

UNDERSTANDING INDIVIDUAL IMPACT

We all matter, and so do our choices. Some choices have greater impacts – positive and negative – than others, so it is important to understand them as much as you are able. This month, your practice option is to consider the impact of a single choice: a product, a habit, a bus ride, a clothing provider, some new carpet, or maybe a stop at Goodwill; then determine if you wish to pursue that choice, change it, or end it – or that you need more information to decide.

Action

Consider a ‘budget,’ for purchases or use, to practice becoming more intentional about choices and honest about needs. I’m trying a clothing budget for this year: only 20 new unclean (high environmental impact) clothing purchases – shoes, jackets, tops, accessories, etc. There is no “budget” for clean items from Patagonia, Prana, Everlane, or second-hand shops!

Notice

That you have power (and how you use it) – as a model and a buyer. Merchants are listening for cues on what to offer, so tell them what you value. Your peers are noticing what you do, so let them see your values.

Review

Your choices. Increasingly, producers offer impact information on their products. You can find it on the packaging and online. The clues are recycling or source symbols, mention of energy use or materials content, or notice of any sustainability certifications.

 

Visit the Facebook group for upliftment, discussion and live sessions with sustainability expert Sarah Sutton

 

Click here for March Going Green Newsletter

 

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